Применение марковских моделей для расчета остаточного ресурса при усталостных отказах

Abstract

The approach of the construction element's residual resource prediction, based on the use of kinetic equations for description of the measure of damage and the mathematical tool for Markoffs process theory is proposed. As the result, the most informative reliability characteristics, such as no-failure operation probability and probability density of failures, are determined. This approach allows take proper account of the random loading, fatigue point decrease