Моделирование процесса синхронного влияния смерча и землетрясения на водоем-охладитель Чернобыльской АЭС в процессе его осушения

Abstract

One of the main lessons of radioecological disaster at Fukushima-Daiichi NPP is inexcusability to exclude modeling and analysis of relatively low-frequency extreme natural phenomenon (such as tornadoes and earthquakes) impact at radioactive contaminated natural and industrial water bodies from research programs. One of such water bodies is partially-dried Chernobyl NPP coolant pool. In paper [1] published in 1989 the Chernobyl Alienation Zone was shown to be located in an increased tornado hazard area with tornado probability of 6∙10⁻³ per year. Therefore an underexplored problem of possible radioecological risks caused by possible synchronous tornado and earthquake impact at partially dried Chernobyl coolant pool is of high importance. Such impact can amplify formation process and scale of the flooding wave, which height can overflow barrier dam of the pool.