Модель динамики влажности в системе «бумажная изоляция» – «трансформаторное масло» в нестационарных тепловых режимах силового трансформатора

Abstract

С целью повышения точности расчета ресурсных характеристик силового трансформатора предложена модель прогнозирования динамики влажности бумажно-масляной изоляции. Предложенная модель отличается от существующих учетом процессов миграции влаги в бумажно-масляной изоляции под влиянием изменения теплового режима силового трансформатора. Проведено компьютерное моделирование износа бумажно-масляной изоляции и произведена оценка влияния возможного изменения степени увлажненности на ресурс.Introduction. An important problem in power transformers resource prognosis is the formation of moisture dynamics trends of transformer insulation. Purpose. Increasing the accuracy of power transformer insulation resource assessment based on accounting of moisture dynamics in interrelation with temperature dynamics. Working out of moisture dynamics model in paper insulation-transformer oil system in conjunction with thermodynamic model, load model and technical maintenance model. Methodology. The mathematical models used for describe the moisture dynamics are grounded on nonlinear differential equations. Interrelation moisture dynamics model with thermodynamic, load and technical maintenance models described by UML model. For confirming the adequacy of model used computer simulation. Results. We have implemented the model of moisture dynamics in power transformers insulation in interrelation with other models, which describe the state of power transformer in operation. The proposed model allows us to form detailed trends of moisture dynamics in power transformers insulation basing on monitoring data or power transformers operational factors simulation results. We have performed computer simulation of moisture exchange processes and calculation of transformer insulation resource for different moisture trends. Originality. The offered model takes into account moisture dynamics in power transformers insulation under the influence of changes of the power transformers thermal mode and operational factors. Practical value. The offered model can be used in power transformers monitoring systems for automation of resource assessment of oil-immersed power transformers paper insulation at different phase of lifecycle. Model also can be used for assessment of projected economic efficiency of power transformers exploitation in projected operating conditions.