Роль кризисов в динамике развития мировой энергетики и теория цикличного развития

Abstract

Рассмотрены проблемы и стратегии развития энергетики. Целесообразен комплексный подход к глобальным энерго-эколого-экономическим путям ее устойчивого развития. Основным направлением развития энергетики следует считать то направление, которое сможет опираться на технологии и источники, не добавляющие энергию в биооболочку Земли. Использование теории цикличного развития позволит сконцентрировать усилия при разработке прогнозов технологического развития энергетики.

The problems and strategies of development energy are considered in this article. It is necessary to take complex approach to the global power, ecological and economic ways of its steady development. The problem of research the future world energy consists of that is needed to take into account the difficult complex of factors are directions and priorities of development world economy and industry, technological, resources and ecological possibilities, power, political, demographic, social and cultural problems and also necessity of account of the mutual influencing all indicated factors, on each other. It is necessary to take into account combination of quantitative and high-quality analysis also. Especially important to take into account that, how development of energy depends from the level of economy. It is necessary to consider that direction which will be able to add not energy to the biological shell Earth basic direction of development energy. The use of theory of cyclic development will allow concentrating efforts at development prognoses technological development energy.