Методичні підходи до використання прогностичного інструментарію в економічному аналізі

Abstract

Considered study of the enterprise as an economic system. Results forecasting is looking to the future, impact assessment and possible ways of development that are necessary for planning. Effective prognostic tools can be built with a deep study of the mechanism of the economic system. Application of autoregressive models able the knowledge that the study process largely depends on the development in past periods. In some cases, models are used for simple conversion that leads to random variables. With the help of mathematical apparatus according autoaggression projected profitability of fixed assets shows the profit per unit of fixed assets, and return on assets ratio, which shows how much money in the revenue per unit of investment in fixed assets. Thus, the difference between these two figures - in the numerator in the calculation of capital as it stands revenue, not profit. All calculations are made based on the balance of production company "BMR-service" by Kramer method and the method of least squares.